weekly · May 25 – May 31, 2026
Week of 2026-05-25
poly-track weekly statement — 1034 alerts, hit rate 0.51.
- Hit rate
- 51%
- Alerts
- 1034
- Hypo. PnL
- +$146
- Categories
- Politics · Macro-Finance
Share of resolved alerts that hit the predicted side. 0.50 ≈ a coin flip; above 0.50 is signal.
Retrospective signals emitted in this window from skilled wallets. No live alerts are published.
Hypothetical profit/loss if every alert had been mirrored with a fixed bankroll. Not a real trading account.
Polymarket areas the alerts in this window cover.
Top wallets (5)
Top wallets are selected by realized PnL magnitude. Bucket shows that wallet's approximate hypothetical PnL contribution, rounded to the nearest $25 to avoid leaking precise per-wallet sizing — rows do not sum to headline PnL. Truncated, opaque IDs, never reversible to a full on-chain address. See the methodology for why.
- Wallet Bucket Share Category
- wallet_254c <$25 0% macro-finance
- wallet_7bb2 ~+$25 17% macro-finance
- wallet_e68b <$25 0% macro-finance
- wallet_1f8a ~+$175 120% politics
- wallet_fcfe <$25 0% politics
Strategy track record (2026-05-25 → 2026-05-31)
Generated from poly-track warehouse for the weekly window 2026-05-25 → 2026-05-31. 1034 alerts emitted in this window across the LP-public categories (politics, macro-finance). Numbers in the frontmatter are mechanically derived; commentary below is left blank for the operator to fill before flipping draft: false.
Top wallets are ranked by realized PnL magnitude. A wallet-level hypothetical_pnl_usd, when present, is the $100-notional alert-model PnL for that wallet in this same window; it is an annotation, not the ranking key.
Methodology reminder
See /methodology for the sign-randomization skill test and the disclosure policy. All wallet references on this page are truncated IDs; no on-chain lookup is possible from this page alone.