monthly · May 2026
May 2026
ogsfrompoly monthly statement — 1128 alerts, hit rate 0.71.
- Hit rate
- 71%
- Alerts
- 1128
- Hypo. PnL
- +$462
- Categories
- Politics · Macro-Finance
Share of resolved alerts that hit the predicted side. 0.50 ≈ a coin flip; above 0.50 is signal.
Retrospective signals emitted in this window from skilled wallets. No live alerts are published.
Hypothetical profit/loss if every alert had been mirrored with a fixed bankroll. Not a real trading account.
Polymarket areas the alerts in this window cover.
Monthly P&L
Open-book project economics for this month — revenue, operating spend, net, and how many months of runway the current bankroll covers. "Covered" means revenue meets or exceeds opex, so runway is indefinite.
- Revenue
- $0
- Opex
- $0
- Net
- $0
- Runway
- covered
Top wallets (5)
Top wallets are selected by realized PnL magnitude. Bucket shows that wallet's approximate hypothetical PnL contribution, rounded to the nearest $25 to avoid leaking precise per-wallet sizing — rows do not sum to headline PnL. Share is that bucket as a fraction of headline PnL; it can exceed 100% when a single wallet carried the window while other alerts netted negative. Truncated, opaque IDs, never reversible to a full on-chain address. See the methodology for why.
- Wallet Bucket Share Category
- wallet_1d0a ~+$75 16% politics
- wallet_f2a8 ≈$0 0% politics
- wallet_fa37 ~+$25 5% politics
- wallet_254c ≈$0 0% macro-finance
- wallet_7bb2 ~+$25 5% macro-finance
Strategy track record (2026-05-01 → 2026-05-31)
Generated from ogsfrompoly warehouse for the monthly window 2026-05-01 → 2026-05-31. 1128 alerts emitted in this window across the LP-public categories (politics, macro-finance). Numbers in the frontmatter are mechanically derived.
Top wallets are ranked by realized PnL magnitude. A wallet-level hypothetical_pnl_usd, when present, is the $100-notional alert-model PnL for that wallet in this same window; it is an annotation, not the ranking key.
Project P&L
Revenue, opex, net, and runway are sourced from the operator’s ledger (not the trading warehouse); the pnl block above holds the canonical numbers. Revenue was $0 for May 2026 — no paid subscriptions, sponsorships, or other income are booked against this period. Operating expenses were also $0: no cash costs were booked to the ledger this month, so there are no line items to itemize. Net result is therefore $0. Runway is reported as not-applicable (null above) — with no recurring cash burn this month, there is no meaningful months-of-runway figure.
Methodology reminder
See /methodology for the sign-randomization skill test and the disclosure policy. All wallet references on this page are truncated IDs; no on-chain lookup is possible from this page alone.